...wouldn't play, any line of the Dutch because it offers black very poor chances.
I used to feel the same way until I noticed the Dutch had the highest winning % of any of the major defenses in high-level (2200+) correspondence games from 2006-present. When I say highest winning % -- I'm not limiting the scope to 1.d4 openings -- higher even, than the Sicilian, which is quite astonishing.
A closer inspection of the data show the Leningrad Dutch is responsible for almost all of blacks success. Comparing variations, it had a higher winning % than the Najdorf but scored slightly lower overall. Of course, it isn't played as frequently as the Najdorf but nevertheless there are enough games to conclude that the Leningrad Dutch is an excellent choice for anyone interested in fighting chess.
This was a real eye opener for me.
What is the source of these data? my d/b shows that f5 has a 42% success rate.
The UltraCorr2 db augmented with monthly updates of recent ICCF/IECG games and filtered to only include games played between 2006-2009 where both players were 2200+.
where do you get this ultracorr2db from?
Check out my games from the tournament and see!
I ended up choosing this for white:
1.d4 e5 2.dxe5 Nc6 3.Nf3 Qe7 4.Nc3 Nxe5 5.Nd5 Nxf3+ 6.gxf3 Qd8
And this for black:
1.d4 e5 2.dxe5 Nc6 3.Nf3 Nge7
What's kind of cool about that tournament is that each player did a little bit of investigation at the beginning and chose some line. Then you can play through their games and see how well their choices did "under duress".
Thanks, without knowing any theory in this "half"-Budapest line, I guess I would pick some sort of Bf4 setup, like the Rubinstein-Budapest line, so that after ..Bb4+ Nd2 wont block the c1 bishop. However here, since only one knight is attacking the pawn, I am not sure this is necessary. E.g. if instead of 3. ..Qe7 Black plays 3. ..Bb4+ 4. Nbd2 4.Qe7 a3 5.Bxd2+ Bxd2 (Ba5, b2-b4 and Bb2) 6.Bxd2 Nxe5 7.Nxe5 Qxe5 8.Bc3 looks unpleasant.
One of the whole points of why this "opening" is so much worse than the Budapest (seriously - anything "much worse than the Budapest" has to be pretty gosh darn bad) is because white's c pawn is on c2. So after Bb4+ white can just play c3 (a useful move anyway).