After giving this some thought, I arrived at the following predictions (regarding the questions I put forward in my post above):
The open section will be won by either France or Armenia, while China will win the women's section. Carlsen won't lose more than five rating points. The Russian team in the open section will be affected badly by Kramnik's "weak" recent results and won't win a medal.
It seems that there is no thread on the upcoming Chess Olympiad in Tromsø, Norway, so I'm starting one myself. (The currently active thread "Tromso Olympiad" is focused on a Chess.com member's preparation for it, rather than the event in general.)
Who do you expect to win the open and women's sections? Will Carlsen play better than in the 2010 Olympiad? How will Russia do with an out-of-form Kramnik? Discuss!