How many percent chess is about skill and how many about good luck?

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petrikeckman

95% skill, and 5% good luck. However all wishes "Good luck everybody". Ridiculous.

tygxc

It is all skill and no luck: there are no dice in chess, own your own mistakes.
The "Good luck!" is inappropriate indeed.

petrikeckman

Well, in theory a totally random chess player  that moves randomly could win Magnus Carlsen. The probability is near to zero, but is not zero. So there is "luck" element too.

Look this: https://www.petke.info/RndChess/ happy.png It is not ready yet, but already funny to watch.

marqumax

Hmm in my opinion there are different cases:

 if         player 1 skill = player 2 skill

                     then  outcome = 100% luck 

 else       if player 1 skill > player 2 skill 

                      then outcome = 100% - (skill of player 1 - skill of player 2 )% luck 

marqumax

But of course in reality there isn't just 1 variable called skill, there are so many different things that one can be good at. For example player 1 can be good at openings, player 2 at middlegames and player 3 at endgames. player 1 might have a better score against player 2. player 2 might have a better score against player 3. player 3 might have a better score against player 1, because the equation is different when we combine their skill levels

sndeww

The “good luck” is just for sportsmanship. Don’t think too much about it.

Tropicalst0rm
Skill 100%
Terrance737
The only “luck” in chess is your opponent blundering therefore meaning you are better, so I would say chess is 100% skill.
Pulpofeira
petrikeckman escribió:

95% skill, and 5% good luck. However all wishes "Good luck everybody". Ridiculous.

Precisely.

RyanMcK2021
If you are about to lose then suddenly your opponent blunders and you win. Is that skill or luck?
psychohist
RyanMcK2021 wrote:
If you are about to lose then suddenly your opponent blunders and you win. Is that skill or luck?

It's your opponent's poor skill, so it's skill.

jennie3234

alguém pra jogar?

Chr0mePl8edSt0vePipe
#4 it is impossible for two people to have the same skill level. There will always be a better person. If anything there might be 0.00000001 % luck because just like another person mentioned you could make random moves and somehow win the game.
AunTheKnight

There is no ‘luck’ in chess… so 100% skill.

ponz111

in short run 95% skill.  In long run 99% skill. 

[chess is a whole lot more than tactical]