Is Nakamura Under 2700?

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GM_chess_player
llama47 wrote:

He hasn't played a FIDE game in over a year, and has been under 2750 for ~30 months.

If he were invited to a super tournament this year (unlikely) how badly do you think he'd be beaten? Would his rating go to 26XX?

imo he's not too bad to drop to 26XX.

i think he'd stay around 27XX, but drop a few points nevertheless. i mean, it's not like he took a 6 month break from chess tournaments, he's still active in them. 

Ioannism7980

There is no way he will drop below the best 100 list in OTB in the next 2-3 years. You all need to chill. His most recent rapid games haven't been that bad.

LegendarySpartan
Ioannism7980 wrote:

There is no way he will drop below the best 100 list in OTB in the next 2-3 years. You all need to chill. His most recent rapid games haven't been that bad.


LegendarySpartan

Also, why do we all care so much about his career, anyway? If he gets weaker, there will always be other better chess players for you all to hype over.

SpacePodz
I think naka is probably not going to study or go to tournaments as much anymore. Kinda reiterating my last comment but I feel like he will go full time twitch. I’m glad for him, he gets to earn money playing chess without the stress of having to do good in tournaments, traveling for tournaments, and constant study and planning for matches. Yes tho, I feel his rating is going to fall, if he returns to tournaments at all that is.
ukrainiandude

what a noob

BlunderTest

Nakamura dropping below 2700? I don't see it happening. (At least not anytime soon.)

In the 2019 Sinquefield Cup (G / 130 + 30 s delay), he drew against nearly every SuperGM that he faced. Carlsen, Caruana, Anand, So, Giri, Aronian, Ding, MVL, Karjakin, Mamedyarov ... These are powerhouse hitters, and none of them were capable of beating Hikaru. The games were all draws. (I believe Nepo was the only player to earn a win against Hikaru, there, while Hikaru also scored against Dubov.)

You can't be consistently drawing against 2700s-2800s, sit at #18 in the world, and simultaneously be a sub-2700 player.

Yes, Hikaru's love of speed chess (and the apparent easy money that it brings for him) might very well lead him down the road of retirement from classical chess, but it's unlikely that he'll plunge below 2700 Standard along the way.

If anything, I'd guess that he might simply abandon classical and focus on speed chess from here on out, leaving his classical rating to retire where it stands.

I suppose time will tell.

llama47
BlunderTest wrote:

Nakamura dropping below 2700? I don't see it happening. (At least not anytime soon.)

In the 2019 Sinquefield Cup (G / 130 + 30 s delay), he drew against nearly every SuperGM that he faced. Carlsen, Caruana, Anand, So, Giri, Aronian, Ding, MVL, Karjakin, Mamedyarov ... These are powerhouse hitters, and none of them were capable of beating Hikaru. The games were all draws. (I believe Nepo was the only player to earn a win against Hikaru, there, while Hikaru also scored against Dubov.)

You can't be consistently drawing against 2700s-2800s, sit at #18 in the world, and simultaneously be a sub-2700 player.

Yes, Hikaru's love of speed chess (and the apparent easy money that it brings for him) might very well lead him down the road of retirement from classical chess, but it's unlikely that he'll plunge below 2700 Standard along the way.

If anything, I'd guess that he might simply abandon classical and focus on speed chess from here on out, leaving his classical rating to retire where it stands.

I suppose time will tell.

Naka has been an eminent and prolific speed player since he was a kid. It didn't hurt his classical chess.

His classical chess suffered when he started being a professional streamer.